You can pick more winners at the horse races by paying attention to the little things. One thing that often goes unnoticed is the addition of front wraps. Did you ever see a horse who had a sudden reversal of form and wonder what happened to that runner?
Perhaps you’ve seen a horse bazinga dropped in class and wondered why such a drastic reduction in claiming prices when it seems to be doing well at a higher class. The reason is often a problem like bowed tendons or shin splints or some other problem that leads to pain and lameness.
In the second race at Golden Gate on January 10th, 2009, a horse named, Super Likit, a 5 year old mare out of Supermec (Capote) was entered for a $4,000 claiming tag. Her last race was for a $5,000 price on December 20th, 2008 with the great Russell Baze in the irons. She had a long layoff previous to that, not having raced since April of 2008. Her poor performance over her last races, only scoring one third place finish out of four starts in 2008, didn’t speak well of her chances.
In the race on the 20th of December, 2008, she had managed to close from 8th position to 5th at the finish, almost five lengths off the pace. That wasn’t very impressive but it was her first race back from an extended layoff. Baze rode her in that race and was in the irons again. That made her look more attractive.
But why had she only had four races in 2008 and would she improve off her last race. Looking at her equipment and medication notes, those few little letters to the right of her running lines, I noticed that she had raced with front wraps for the first time in her last race. Perhaps her poor performance in 2008 on a dirt track at Bay Meadows was due to lameness. My suspicions were confirmed. Reading the comment on her race in March of 2008, it read, “Vanned off.”
Super Likit had a problem with lameness. She had won in 2007 on the softer all weather track at Golden Gate, but when taken to Bay Meadows and run on a harder surface, she’d developed a problem. The front wraps confirmed that the problem was lameness and since she had managed to run a decent race in her first race back at Golden Gate, she looked to move forward with fresh legs and a cushioned surface.
There were two horses that laid over the field and made the quinella, but Super Likit ran a very good race, battling down the stretch and just missing the place position and only a few lengths off an impressive winner. On just her second race back off a long layoff, that was impressive and if she comes back from the race without any problems, she will be a solid bet at the same class or even a notch higher in her next race.
The most consistent horse racing systems have to have the basics and a handicapper must understand the basics. I have been around horse racing for 50 years including as an owner. Without the basics the rest is not going to do any good. If you want to learn how a horse owner and insider handicaps just go to http://williewins.homestead.com/truecb.html and get the truth.
Bill Peterson is a former horse race owner and professional handicapper. He comes from a horse race handicapping family and as he puts it, “Horse Racing is in my blood.” To see all Bill’s horse racing material go to http://williewins.homestead.com/handicappingstore.html, Bill’s handicapping store.